29 ago 2013

¿Con que fuerzas puede responder Siria?

Defensa antiaérea siria

Las fuerzas de defensa antiaérea del país están integradas por 40.000 personas. En su inventario figuran 320 sistemas de misiles tierra-aire S -75 Dvina y S- 75M Volga, 148 sistemas S-125 Nevá y S-125M Pechora, 48 sistemas S-200 Angará, 48 instalaciones de S-300, 200 de 2T12 Kub, 60 de 9K33 Osa, una veintena de 9K31 Strela-1, medio centenar de Buk de distintas modificaciones y otros 50 sistemas Pántsir- S1.

El ejército de tierra sirio también cuenta con cierta cantidad de sistemas Tunguska y Tor-M1.

Una gran parte de estos sistemas ha quedado obsoleta, pero la otra, según datos no confirmados, fue sometida a inicios de la pasada decada a una actualización de sus componentes y sus bloques de guiado fueron sustituidos por otros más nuevos. Queda por saber si se completó la entrega de nuevos sistemas de defensa antiaérea rusos S-300, ya que no se sabe con certeza si Damasco dispone de estos sistemas defensivos.

Sin embargo, aunque el número total de sistemas antiaéreos de gran, medio y corto alcance de Siria no baste para defender exitosamente el país, al menos si serían capaces de causar un número sensible bajas a la aviación enemiga.

No se puede descartar que Damasco tenga desplegados en el litoral sistemas de misiles anti-buque Yájont, con velocidad de 3000 kilómetros, 250 kilos de carga de combate, 300 kilómetros de alcance y capacidad para volar a muy baja altura, dificultando su intercepción. Ello significa que es muy poco probable que Occidente actúe cerca de las costas sirias.

Sin comandos especiales en la costa


En la etapa actual Estados Unidos puede lanzar un ataque de alta precisión con sus misiles de crucero, pero es poco probable que actúen en el territorio sirio con sus comandos, de forma parecida a la agresión contra Libia de 2011. No lo permitirá el ejército gubernamental.

El nivel de formación de las fuerzas especiales en Siria es alto, afirmó este jueves en el salón aeroespacial MAKS-2013 cerca de Moscú, el comandante de las tropas aerotransportadas de Rusia, el coronel general Vladimir Shamánov.

"Partiendo del hecho de que contra ellos [tropas del Gobierno sirio] lucha el 'spetsnaz' [comandos especiales] de unos 20 estados deduzco que están bastante bien preparados", dijo el general.

Texto completo en: http://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/view/104266-fuerzas-defensa-antiaera-siria

27 ago 2013

La Alianza del Pacífico logra "hito importante" al cerrar acuerdo económico

EFE

Playa del Carmen (México), 26 ago (EFECOM).- La Alianza del Pacífico logró hoy un "hito importante" en materia de integración al cerrar las negociaciones que permitirán crear un área de libre comercio que moviliza el 50 % de los intercambios en América Latina y representa el 36 % del PIB regional. "Estamos generando uno de los espacios más importantes de integración regional a nivel mundial", celebró en rueda de prensa el ministro de Comercio, Industria y Turismo de Colombia, Sergio Díaz-Granados al dar a conocer los detalles del pacto. Reunidos en Playa del Carmen, en el Caribe mexicano, los seis ministros de Asuntos Exteriores y Comercio de Colombia, Chile, México y Perú culminaron así una negociación que ha durado casi dos años. 

El ministro colombiano detalló que el "92 % de las partidas arancelarias estarán desgravadas en forma inmediata, una vez entre en vigencia el acuerdo" en fecha aún por definir, pero antes de que termine 2013, y "el 8 % restante lo estará en plazos cortos y medianos". Después de la firma el 6 de junio del año pasado del acuerdo marco de la Alianza del Pacífico en Paranal (Chile), los socios dieron hoy en México "un segundo gran paso" con "el cierre de la negociación y el establecimiento de nuestro acuerdo económico y comercial", afirmó. Sostuvo que lo acordado supone "un hito importante", ya que "incluye todas las disciplinas de un acuerdo de integración económica". 

Estas comprenden "los bienes, los servicios, la inversión, las compras públicas" y "un sofisticado sistema de entendimiento institucional" entre los cuatro socios, precisó. En su turno, el canciller de Chile, Alfredo Moreno, se sacudió algunas críticas vertidas contra la Alianza del Pacífico entre países de la región, como Brasil. Se trata del "acuerdo más ambicioso, casi podríamos decir 'revolucionario', en materia de integración" de los que existen, destacó. "La palabra 'integración' ha estado presente en nuestro continente desde hace un número inmemorable de años, y sin embargo, de verdad, muchas veces no hemos podido pasar de la teoría, de la poesía y de las canciones sobre la integración a algo efectivo", puntualizó Moreno

Destacó que Colombia, Chile, México y Perú, los cuatro actuales socios de la Alianza, y que podrían ser más cuando se incorporen otros como Costa Rica y Panamá, tienen altos niveles de crecimiento tanto en América Latina como en el resto del mundo. Explicó que esas cuatro economías latinoamericanas unidas, que en 2012 representaban el noveno lugar mundial, ya son "la sexta economía del mundo porque la tasa de crecimiento que tienen es muy superior a la del promedio" del planeta. "Yo creo que estamos frente a algo que, como muchos medios internacionales han señalado, es probablemente lo más entusiasmante, lo más positivo que podemos hablar en materia de integración, no solo en nuestra región, sino también en el mundo", dijo el ministro chileno. 

El secretario de Economía de México, Ildefonso Guajardo, anfitrión del encuentro, celebró que el acuerdo económico-comercial sellado hoy se haya logrado con "muy pocos productos de un alto nivel de sensibilidad" que quedarán algo relegados. Dijo que estos artículos representan "menos del 1,4 % del comercio" total y están ajustados a diferentes plazos que, en caso de los más largos, "nos llevarían hasta el año 2030" para la apertura total. En la rueda de prensa intervino también la ministra de Comercio Exterior de Perú, Magali Silva Velarde-Álvarez, quien resaltó que los cuatro países hayan sintonizado en materia comercial en apenas "dos años de trabajo", gracias a "objetivos comunes". 

La Alianza del Pacífico, cuyo producto interior bruto (PIB) alcanza los 2,01 billones de dólares, ha sido más efectiva en su proceso de integración comercial que el Mercosur y la Alianza Bolivariana para los Pueblos de América (ALBA), según sus promotores. Impulsada desde abril de 2011 y constituida el 6 de junio del pasado año en Cerro Paranal, Chile, la Alianza del Pacífico comenzó a funcionar formalmente el 1 de noviembre de 2012. EFECOM

La Alianza del Pacífico logra "hito importante" al cerrar acuerdo económico - Expansion.com

20 ago 2013

40 maps that explain the world (Washington Post)






By Max Fisher and the Washington Post Foreign Staff


Maps can be a remarkably powerful tool for understanding the world and how it works, 
but they show only what you ask them to. So when we saw a post sweeping the Web 
titled “40 maps they didn’t teach you in school,” one of which happens to be a WorldViews 
original, I thought we might be able to contribute our own collection. Some of these are pretty 
nerdy, but I think they’re no less fascinating and easily understandable. A majority 
are original to this blog (see our full maps coverage here), with others from a variety of sources. 
I’ve included a link for further reading on close to every one.

1. A political map of the world, circa 200 A.D.
Click to enlarge. (Imgur)






What’s more amazing: how much things have changed over the last 1,800 years,
a major chunk of the civilizational history of humanity, or how many of this map’s 
divisions are still with us today?

2. Where people are the most and least welcoming to foreigners
Click to enlarge. (Max Fisher/Washington Post)
 Data source: World Economic Forum. (Max Fisher/Washington Post)
This might be useful in planning your next vacation, although there are some big surprises in the results.

3. The world’s major writing systems
Click to enlarge. (Wikimedia Commons)
 (Wikimedia Commons)
This map is a reminder that the world’s divisions and commonalities go much deeper than national borders. It also helps to tell the stories of a few major events that still shape the globe, the echoes of which you can see in almost every map on this page:European colonialism, the Arabic-speaking Islamic conquests of the 7th century, the Russian expansions of the 19th and 20th centuries, and the (still-ongoing!) unifications of India and China.

4. The best and worst places to be born
Click to enlarge. Data source: Economist intelligence unit. (Max Fisher/Washington Post)
Click to enlarge. Data source: Economist intelligence unit. (Max Fisher/Washington Post)

5. World map of major religions
Click to enlarge (Pew)
Click to enlarge (Pew)
Read here about how Christianity came to dominate so much of the globe and what that means today. Read below for more on the Islamic world.

6. The countries where people are the most and least emotional
Click to enlarge. Data source: Gallup (Max Fisher/Washington Post)
Click to enlarge. Data source: Gallup (Max Fisher/Washington Post)
People in yellow countries are the least likely to report having emotional experiences of any kind, positive or negative. Purple countries are where people report experiencing the most feelings. If you’re surprised to see that the United States is among the world’s most emotional countries (but far from No. 1) or want to learn why some regions are so unemotional, you can read all about it here.

7. A European missionary’s map of Africa, circa 1908
I have this one hanging over my desk in part because of its appeal as a historic document (the borders are tellingly rough) but also as a reminder of the colonial legacy in Africa, which European powers divided up a century ago with little respect for how actual Africans wanted to be grouped. Those arbitrary borders are still with us today, in part because African leaders agreed not to dispute them when they won independence. The borders contribute significantly to conflict and unrest on the continent because there are so many diverse communities forced together.

8. Where people are the most and least racially tolerant
Click to enlarge. Data source: World Values Survey (Max Fisher/Washington Post)
Click to enlarge. Data source: World Values Survey (Max Fisher/Washington Post)
People in blue countries are more likely to say that they would be OK with living next door to someone of a different race. People in red countries are less likely. The mapsuggests some big and potentially surprising lessons for how race is treated around the world. But it’s an imperfect (and controversial) metric, so do read these five insights from an ethnic conflict specialist on the map and what it tells us.

9. The world’s most and least ethnically diverse countries
Click to enlarge. Data source: Harvard Institute for Economic Research (Max Fisher/Washington Post)
Click to enlarge. Data source: Harvard Institute for Economic Research (Max Fisher/Washington Post)
This shows the world’s most diverse countries, its most homogenous and, if you look closely, a whole lot more.

10. Where people feel the most and least loved
Click to enlarge. Data source: Gallup (Max Fisher/Washington Post)
Click to enlarge. Data source: Gallup (Max Fisher/Washington Post)
Red countries are where people feel the most loved; blue countries are where they feel the least loved. Here’s the story behind those sadder, bluer spots on the map.

11. A Russian professor thinks the U.S. will break up into these four countries
(Laris Karklis/Washington Post)
(Laris Karklis/Washington Post)
Professor Igor Panarin became a minor celebrity in Russia when he first unveiled his grim prediction for the future of the United States, which was widely covered by Russian state media and treated as credible. Panarin said the United States would break apart under internal strain and form four different countries, with only one wholly independent while the others fell under foreign influence or control. I’ve included it both for a taste of how the United States is sometimes perceived abroad and to give American readers a sense for what it can feel like to have the outside world get your country so wildly wrong.

12. Who loves and hates America
Click to enlarge. Data source: Pew (Max Fisher/Washington Post)
Click to enlarge. Data source: Pew (Max Fisher/Washington Post)
People in blue countries are more likely to view the United States favorably; people in red countries are more likely to view it unfavorably. The map has some big implications for America’s role in the world.

13. How the U.S. and China compare on global popularity
Blue countries view the U.S. more favorably than they do China; red countries are the reverse. Data source: Pew (Max Fisher/The Washington Post)
Blue countries view the U.S. more favorably than they do China; red countries are the reverse. Data source: Pew (Max Fisher/The Washington Post)
This map is actually mostly good news for the United States. Here’s why.

14. China’s disastrous passport
My annotation of a photo of China's new passport. (AP Photo/Ng Han Guan)
My annotation of a photo of China’s new passport. (AP Photo/Ng Han Guan)
Sometimes maps can spark geopolitical events rather than just reflecting them, as China did when it issued new passports containing this map. Why the controversy? The areas I’ve highlighted in red are marked as Chinese on the map but actually are in dispute or are administered by other countries. This did not go over well.
15. Gay rights around the world
Click to enlarge (Max Fisher/Washington Post)
Click to enlarge (Max Fisher/Washington Post)

16. Where people are the most and least tolerant of homosexuality
Click to enlarge. Data source: Pew (Max Fisher/Washington Post)
Click to enlarge. Data source: Pew (Max Fisher/Washington Post)

17. Languages and dialects of the Middle East and Central Asia
Click to enlarge. Each color represents a language group, with shades for each dialect. (The Gulf/2000 Project at Columbia University)
Click to enlarge. Each color represents a language group, with shades for each dialect. (The Gulf/2000 Project at Columbia University)
The first thing this map shows you is the remarkable diversity in one of the world’s oldest and most storied regions, from Iraq in the West all the way to China in the East and Russia in the North. There are a hundred other stories embedded in here: the expansion of Iran beyond just Persian-speaking peoples, the fracturing of Afghanistan and Pakistan, and the really stunning diversity packed into the Caucasus, which includes the troubled Russian regions of Chechnya and Dagestan.

18. Where people smoke the most (and least) cigarettes per person
Annual per capita cigarette consumption rates. Data sources: World Lung Foundation and American Cancer Society. (Max Fisher / Washington Post)
Annual per capita cigarette consumption rates. Data sources: World Lung Foundation and American Cancer Society. (Max Fisher / Washington Post)
Read more here about Russia’s cigarette problem, which costs the country an estimated $48 billion every year, and about the other smoking trends seen in the map.

19. Economic inequality around the world
Higher gini coefficient scores indicate higher economic inequality. (Wikimedia Commons)
Higher gini coefficient scores indicate higher economic inequality. (Wikimedia Commons)
This map shows each country’s gini coefficient, which measures economic inequality. The red countries are the most unequal under the metric, and the green countries are the closest to nationwide economic equality. More here.

20. How the U.S. compares to the world on economic inequality
Click to enlarge. Blue countries are more equal than the U.S., red countries are more unequal. (Max Fisher)
Click to enlarge. (Max Fisher)
Blue countries are more equal than the U.S., red countries are less equal. This map gives you a sense of just how severe economic inequality is in the United States; much higher than in any other developed country, and most developing countries as well.

21. Global crop yields are stagnating
One of four maps showing projected changes in major crop yields. (University of Michigan)
One of four maps showing projected changes in major crop yields. (University of Minnesota)
A University of Minnesota study recently published in the journal Nature found that a significant share of the world’s crop-growing regions are seeing growth stagnate, slow or even collapse. They published three other maps; see the others and why they think it’s so important to “sound the alert” here.

22. The best and worst countries to be a mother
Click to enlarge. Data source: Save the Children. (Max Fisher/Washington Post)
Click to enlarge. Data source: Save the Children. (Max Fisher/Washington Post)
A international NGO designed a complex formula to indicate which countries are better or worse for mothers. Click here to see what their formula measures and to read about the study’s implications for mothers worldwide.

23. How al-Qaeda is changing
(The Washington Post)
(The Washington Post)

24. More than half of humanity lives inside this circle
(Imgur)
(Imgur)

25. Legal systems of the world
Legal systems of the world. Click to enlarge. (Wikimedia Commons)
Click to enlarge. (Wikimedia Commons)
One reason I find this map fascinating is it shows how British colonialism took the English “common law” legal system — once nearly unique in the world — and has now spread it across every continent. You can also see that religious law is unique to Islamic countries (although it didn’t use to be) and that customary law, once near-global, is now almost extinct.

26. How far Hamas’s rockets can reach into Israel

View GazaMissiles in a larger map
This helps drive home why Israel is so concerned about Hamas, the Gaza-based Islamist militant group, and in particular about its access to Iranian-made Fajr-5 rockets. Those are the ones that can reach into the light-yellow region.

27. North Korea’s missile range
(Voice of America)
(Voice of America)
North Korea makes its missile program sound like a terrifying and immediate threat to the United States, but, as this map demonstrates, that rhetoric far exceeds actual capability.

28. Child poverty in the developed world
Click to enlarge. Data source: UNICEF. (Max Fisher/Washington Post)
Click to enlarge. Data source: UNICEF. (Max Fisher/Washington Post)
The United States ranks 34th out of the developed world’s 35 countries by child poverty rates, above only Romania. The United States doesn’t do much better on overall child well-being.

29. The cancer villages of China
Locations of communities where cancer rates have spiked recently. (Global Times via Weibo)
Locations of communities where cancer rates have spiked recently. (Global Times via Weibo)
China’s problem with “cancer villages,” or communities where cancer rates are spiking, thought to be due to rapidly worsening pollution, have become such a big problem that even Communist Party-run outlet Global Times felt compelled to share this map on Chinese social media.

30. What Europeans think about the European Union
Data source: Eurobarometer. (Max Fisher/Washington Post)
Data source: Eurobarometer. (Max Fisher/Washington Post)
Europe’s economic slump is no secret, but how people within the European Union feel about their big collective experiment can very widely. This map is a pretty telling indication of whom the E.U. has helped, whom it has hurt and who think they shouldn’t really count as European (read: the United Kingdom).

31. Meet the world’s 26 remaining monarchies
(Max Fisher and Caitlin Dewey/Washington Post)
(Max Fisher and Caitlin Dewey/Washington Post)
There are barely two dozen left, and only 11 of them are really still in charge, but they’ve all got a story to tell. Read a mini-bio of each one here.

32. The diversity of the Levant
Click to enlarge. Each color represents a language group, with shades for each dialect. (<a href=
This color-coded map shows the different ethnic groups of Syria, Lebanon, Jordan and Israel. There’s an awful lot of history packed into this corner of the world — and maybe some of the deepest ethnic and religious animosities anywhere in the world.

33. The nuclear powers, after the Cold War
Click to enlarge. (International Law and Policy Institute)
Click to enlarge. (International Law and Policy Institute)
The Cold War may have ended, but its thousands of nuclear warheads are still around — and often still divided along the same lines. This map shows in blue the Russian “umbrella states,” which are formally under the protection of Russian nuclear weapons, and in orange the “umbrella states” protected by the U.S./NATO. The five other nuclear powers — Israel, Pakistan, India, China and North Korea — are in gray.

34. How people think their economies are doing
Click to enlarge. Data source: Gallup (Max Fisher/Washington Post)
Click to enlarge. Data source: Gallup (Max Fisher/Washington Post)
People in red countries are pessimistic about their country’s economy; people in blue countries are more optimistic. With a handful of exceptions (cough cough, China), economists seem to agree.

35. A partial map of geopolitical anomalies
Revised-Map-Of-Geopolitical-Anomalies
Each of these red markers cheekily indicates some unusual or unique phenomenon — for example, Abkhazia, the “barely recognized puppet state” just between Russia and Georgia. (Read more on Abkhazia and other not-yet-real countries here.) My favorite may be the various overseas French territories, such as French Guyana, that are simply and accurately labeled “France.”

36. Where the atheists live
Click to enlarge. Data source: WIN/Gallup International poll. (Max Fisher and Caitlin Dewey/Washington Post)
Click to enlarge. Data source: WIN/Gallup International poll. (Max Fisher and Caitlin Dewey/Washington Post)
Plenty of godlessness in China, Japan and a few European countries, perhaps unsurprisingly. But there are lot more atheists in places like Saudi Arabia than you might think, despite the fact that it’s considered a serious crime.

37. What the Muslim world believes, part 1: democracy
Click to enlarge. Data source: Pew. (Max Fisher/Washington Post)
Click to enlarge. Data source: Pew. (Max Fisher/Washington Post)
The first of three maps from a comprehensive study on attitudes and views in the Muslim world (full breakdown of the report here) shows that most Muslims broadly support democracy, with a few telling exceptions.

38. What the Muslim world believes, part 2: religious conflict
Click to enlarge. Data source: Pew. (Max Fisher/Washington Post)
Click to enlarge. Data source: Pew. (Max Fisher/Washington Post)
Significant shares of just about every large Muslim population worry about religious conflict (there is a widespread view in many Muslim-majority countries that the religion is under siege from the outside world). That share is more than half in four countries: Tunisia, Pakistan, Nigeria and Niger.

39. What the Muslim world believes, part 3: honor killings
Click to enlarge. Data source: Pew. (Max Fisher/Washington Post)
Click to enlarge. Data source: Pew. (Max Fisher/Washington Post)
Red indicates countries where most surveyed Muslims believe that “honor killings” — the practice of killing someone, typically a member of your own family, for having sex out of wedlock — are sometimes justified. Blue indicates countries where most surveyed Muslims believe it is never justified.

40. The world as seen from space, over a 12-month time-lapse

This NASA moving image, recorded by satellite over a full year as part of their Blue Marble Project, shows the ebb and flow of the seasons and vegetation. Both are absolutely crucial factors in every facet of human existence — so crucial we barely even think about them. It’s also a reminder that the Earth is, for all its political and social and religious divisions, still unified by the natural phenomena that make everything else possible.